Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.505499 1.574198 1.644740 1.722716 1.806644 1.894426 1.993394
2026-01-04 1.363558 1.459847 1.562485 1.680531 1.813177 1.958363 2.130311
2026-01-11 1.277314 1.394499 1.523388 1.676776 1.855826 2.060097 2.313527
2026-01-18 1.216913 1.351031 1.502612 1.688559 1.913272 2.179776 2.525599
2026-01-25 1.152164 1.296589 1.463478 1.673429 1.934734 2.255277 2.688306
2026-02-01 1.089587 1.239819 1.416618 1.643780 1.933696 2.299949 2.812863
2026-02-08 1.024322 1.175638 1.356279 1.592295 1.899665 2.297446 2.871589
2026-02-15 0.979160 1.133236 1.319757 1.567515 1.896772 2.333456 2.983817
2026-02-22 0.946589 1.104458 1.298190 1.559755 1.914462 2.396771 3.138846
2026-03-01 0.911848 1.071154 1.268895 1.539592 1.913114 2.432169 3.254266
2026-03-08 0.865639 1.021402 1.216205 1.485340 1.861057 2.390918 3.247074
2026-03-15 0.841425 0.998797 1.197627 1.475782 1.870362 2.438357 3.382436
2026-03-22 0.825035 0.987152 1.194773 1.490158 1.918422 2.552667 3.649901
2026-03-29 0.796589 0.958843 1.168788 1.471351 1.917507 2.593208 3.800545
2026-04-05 0.778901 0.944064 1.160339 1.476766 1.952821 2.693523 4.070847
2026-04-12 0.765598 0.934530 1.158467 1.491282 2.002671 2.821687 4.413005
2026-04-19 0.744949 0.914241 1.140772 1.481544 2.013876 2.886263 4.643161
2026-04-26 0.721285 0.888995 1.115089 1.458524 2.002234 2.910244 4.794699
2026-05-03 0.692941 0.856448 1.077954 1.416576 1.957435 2.872160 4.809784
2026-05-10 0.673093 0.835034 1.055864 1.396376 1.946841 2.894089 4.958679
2026-05-17 0.658711 0.820738 1.043375 1.390151 1.958747 2.957636 5.211733
2026-05-24 0.641961 0.802618 1.024713 1.373444 1.951823 2.985187 5.385561
2026-05-31 0.617498 0.773049 0.988588 1.328076 1.893628 2.910755 5.300622